Coarse-Whorl

0x83d4422857882eff55f881b295d668b85420ad01

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Coarse-Whorl: +$2.0K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 43% (95% range 16%–75%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$2.0K
return +14.0%
Settled bets
7
$15K staked
Won
42.9%
95% range 16%–75%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 7 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$4.0K
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$1.9K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 5 BUY Top Esports @ 56¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs $1.9K
Aug 24 BUY Yes @ 51¢
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-08-24?
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-08-24? $2.0K
Aug 23 BUY Yes @ 52¢
Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-23?
Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-23? $2.4K
Aug 22 BUY Yes @ 50¢
Will CF Montréal win on 2026-08-22?
Will CF Montréal win on 2026-08-22? $1.0K
Aug 22 BUY Yes @ 48¢
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22?
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22? $3.4K
Aug 22 BUY Over @ 45¢
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5 $1.4K
Aug 22 BUY Yes @ 50¢
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-08-22?
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-08-22? $2.5K

All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed