Excited-Subtitle

0x983eedfbd75803602e4a6e6ea9aab6dc6b9c6748

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗
Profit
−$52K
return −1.6%
Settled bets
21
$3.22M staked
Won
57.1%
95% range 37%–76%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 21 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Aug 20 – Sep 4: +$947K Sep 4 – Sep 20: −$1.01M Sep 20 – Oct 5: +$14K
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 20 Bought Yes at 37¢
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-09-20?
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-09-20? $8.2K
Sep 11 Bought Yes at 71¢
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-09-11?
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-09-11? $5.0K
Sep 11 Bought Yes at 71¢
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-09-11?
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-09-11? $9.9K
Sep 11 Bought Yes at 71¢
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-09-11?
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-09-11? $13K
Sep 11 Bought Yes at 71¢
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-09-11?
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-09-11? $67K
Sep 11 Bought Yes at 71¢
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-09-11?
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-09-11? $13K
Sep 11 Bought Yes at 71¢
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-09-11?
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-09-11? $24K
Sep 11 Bought Yes at 71¢
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-09-11?
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-09-11? $23K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*) · computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed