Polymarket market · Other

Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-12?

Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗

12 whales put $230K into this market since Sep 11, 77% of their buying on Yes. No won. Of the 11 whales whose whole position we captured, 6 made +$20K and 5 lost −$179K: −$159K between them.

The whales on this market

12 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Feisty-Mention
59 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 44¢ $110K — −$110K
Unwritten-Mayonnaise-Mentor
3 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 46¢ $53K — −$53K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,235 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 64¢ $25K — +$9.8K
Private-Emergence
7 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 43¢ $13K — −$13K
Selfish-Livestock
16 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $6.8K —
Exemplary-Shoreline
48 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 54¢ $6.2K — +$5.3K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,172 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 28¢ $5.0K — −$1.8K
Vivid-Suggestion
10 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 71¢ $4.5K — +$1.8K
Hollow-Maggot-Sense
951 settled bets Beat the odds*
No @ 54¢ $2.2K — +$1.9K
Royal-Adulthood-Desert
9 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 47¢ $2.0K — −$2.0K
Unfortunate-Harvest
84 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 96¢ $1.5K — +$63
0x77f9…feaf
2 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 55¢ $1.1K — +$889

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes lost
    $171K
    77% of whale buying · 5 buyers
  2. No won
    $40K
    18% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $6.8K sold
  3. Yes lost
    $13K
    6% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 11 to Sep 12, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed