Selfish-Livestock

0xc8008c1143351e21a58287163734737632ab4117

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Selfish-Livestock: +$1.3K on 16 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 38% (95% range 19%–61%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$1.3K
return +13.0%
Settled bets
16
$10K staked
Won
37.5%
95% range 19%–61%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$1.3K
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$14
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 7 SELL San Diego Padres @ 99.9¢
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres $4.1K
Sep 12 SELL No @ 99.9¢
Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-12?
Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-12? $6.8K
Sep 12 SELL Invictus Gaming @ 99.9¢
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner $1.1K
Sep 11 SELL Chicago Cubs @ 99.9¢
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs $2.6K
Sep 5 SELL Top Esports @ 99.9¢
Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)
Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5) $1.8K
Sep 5 SELL Los Angeles Dodgers @ 99.9¢
Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers $1.8K
Sep 2 BUY Elina Svitolina @ 85¢
US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Maya Joint
US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Maya Joint $1.3K
Aug 30 BUY Up @ 63¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET $1.1K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed