Royal-Adulthood-Desert

0x84078a163bb50b325f8abf3e4720ea6e55dac4b9

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Royal-Adulthood-Desert: −$2.6K on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 44% (95% range 19%–73%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$2.6K
return −18.8%
Settled bets
9
$14K staked
Won
44.4%
95% range 19%–73%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 8 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$3.1K
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$5.7K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
−$77
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 2 SELL Las Vegas Aces @ 95¢
Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces
Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces $1.5K
Sep 19 BUY Yes @ 58¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? $1.5K
Sep 19 BUY Yes @ 58¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? $1.5K
Sep 19 BUY Over @ 66¢
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5 $1.0K
Sep 19 BUY Under @ 41¢
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5 $1.0K
Sep 12 BUY Under @ 65¢
1. FC Köln vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 2.5
1. FC Köln vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 2.5 $1.5K
Sep 12 BUY Yes @ 47¢
Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-12?
Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-12? $1.0K
Sep 12 BUY Yes @ 47¢
Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-12?
Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-12? $1.0K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed