Polymarket market · Other

Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-08-22?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

14 whales put $108K into this market since Aug 22, 78% of their buying on No. Yes won. Of the 11 whales whose whole position we captured, 5 made +$16K and 6 lost −$80K: −$63K between them.

The whales on this market

14 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Feisty-Mention
59 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 51¢ $52K — −$52K
Which-Opening
13 settled bets Worse than the odds
No @ 52¢ $17K — −$17K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,575 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 73¢ $7.3K — −$7.3K
Frail-Possible
629 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 45¢ $5.7K — +$7.0K
Unlined-Observation
50 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 98¢ $4.6K — +$93
Miserable-Poison
1,032 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 85¢ $3.8K — +$669
Fake-Bitter
1,081 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 46¢ $3.6K — +$4.2K
Prestigious-Precedence
102 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 67¢ $1.5K $1.5K −$23
Weak-Disease
4 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.9K —
Sweet-Fighter
3 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 30¢ $1.9K — +$4.5K
Exemplary-Shoreline
54 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 52¢ $1.8K — −$1.8K
Skeletal-Jet
6 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.4K —
Untrue-Vegetation
2 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 54¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K
Portly-Break-Nutmeg
18 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.0K —

Where the whale money went

  1. No lost
    $79K
    78% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $1.5K sold
  2. Yes won
    $20K
    19% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $5.4K sold
  3. No lost
    $2.6K
    3% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 22, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed