Weak-Disease

0x59522ea5aa1996169b81179c9945e3206e49db2f

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Weak-Disease: −$78 on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–49%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$78
return —
Settled bets
4
$0 staked
Won
0.0%
95% range 0%–49%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$73
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$5
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 12 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Exact Score: Tottenham Hotspur FC 0 - 0 Everton FC?
Exact Score: Tottenham Hotspur FC 0 - 0 Everton FC? $5.1K
Sep 5 SELL Under @ 97¢
AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 $2.4K
Aug 23 SELL Under @ 99.9¢
Austin FC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 2.5
Austin FC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 2.5 $5.5K
Aug 22 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-08-22?
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-08-22? $2.9K

All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed