Polymarket market · Other

Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-08-22?

Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗

10 whales put $57K into this market since Aug 22, 51% of their buying on No. No won. Of the 10 whales whose whole position we captured, 9 made +$23K and 1 lost −$27K: −$3.6K between them.

The whales on this market

10 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Realistic-Chive-Tenet
30 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 47¢ $27K — −$27K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,235 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 52¢ $6.8K — +$6.3K
Warped-Scholar
132 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 51¢ $5.6K — +$5.4K
0x9f15613ebf1f36d4bc679e1211d1fc567cf9bdb3
33 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 52¢ $2.7K $2.0K +$529
Hollow-Maggot-Sense
951 settled bets Beat the odds*
No @ 51¢ $4.5K — +$4.3K
Scary-Edible
1,330 settled bets Beat the odds*
No @ 52¢ $2.6K — +$2.4K
Chilly-Surrounds
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 80¢ $2.0K — +$500
Foolish-Mango
222 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 51¢ $1.6K — +$1.5K
Conscious-Outfielder
105 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 52¢ $1.3K — +$1.2K
Frail-Possible
629 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 52¢ $1.0K — +$969

Where the whale money went

  1. No won
    $28K
    51% of whale buying · 9 buyers · $2.0K sold
  2. Yes lost
    $27K
    49% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 22, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed