Polymarket market · Sports

Senators vs. Maple Leafs

Resolved: Senators won · See it on Polymarket ↗

11 whales put $51K into this market since Oct 3, 70% of their buying on Maple Leafs. Senators won. Of the 8 whales whose whole position we captured, 5 made +$14K and 3 lost −$30K: −$16K between them.

The whales on this market

11 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Kind-Icecream-Replication
1 settled bets Too few bets
Maple Leafs @ 34¢ $18K — −$18K
Substantial-Service
670 settled bets Beat the odds*
Maple Leafs @ 50¢ $10K — −$10K
Same-Kidney
46 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Senators @ 49¢ $7.4K — +$7.7K
Tattered-Screamer
36 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $4.0K —
Wonderful-Patio
46 settled bets Beat the odds*
sold only $0 $2.7K —
Lean-Attraction
3 settled bets Too few bets
Senators @ 49¢ $1.6K — +$1.7K
Indelible-Try
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Senators @ 50¢ $1.5K — +$1.5K
Gleeful-Pricing
5 settled bets Too few bets
Maple Leafs @ 51¢ $1.5K — −$1.5K
Bewitched-Irony
19 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.3K —
Innocent-Grape
109 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Senators @ 46¢ $1.2K — +$1.4K
Medium-Electrocardiogram-Compassion
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Senators @ 49¢ $1.2K — +$1.2K

Where the whale money went

  1. Maple Leafs lost
    $30K
    70% of whale buying · 3 buyers · $4.0K sold
  2. Senators won
    $13K
    30% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $4.0K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 3 to Oct 4, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed