Tattered-Screamer

0x3e04fbc51adb75418129f6ce2091ae633070564d

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Tattered-Screamer: +$2.5K on 36 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 35%–66%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
+$2.5K
return +5.3%
Settled bets
36
$47K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 35%–66%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 27 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
−$6.8K
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$493
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$9.7K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 BUY Bengals @ 52¢
Spread: Bengals (-6.5)
Spread: Bengals (-6.5) $2.1K
Oct 9 BUY Lightning @ 61¢
Lightning vs. Islanders
Lightning vs. Islanders $1.5K
Oct 9 BUY Canadiens @ 63¢
Red Wings vs. Canadiens
Red Wings vs. Canadiens $1.5K
Oct 9 SELL Yes @ 59¢
Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?
Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series? $6.5K
Oct 9 BUY Stars @ 57¢
Stars vs. Penguins
Stars vs. Penguins $2.6K
Oct 9 BUY Yes @ 57¢
Will HNK Gorica win on 2026-10-09?
Will HNK Gorica win on 2026-10-09? $2.0K
Oct 9 BUY Yi Zhou @ 58¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yi Zhou vs Lorenzo Musetti
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yi Zhou vs Lorenzo Musetti $1.7K
Oct 9 BUY Capitals @ 56¢
Rangers vs. Capitals
Rangers vs. Capitals $2.7K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed