Polymarket market · Sports
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Denis Shapovalov
Resolved: Carlos Alcaraz won · See it on Polymarket ↗
14 whales put $58K into this market since Oct 3, 93% of their buying on Carlos Alcaraz. Carlos Alcaraz won. Of the 10 whales whose whole position we captured, 8 made +$6.2K and 2 lost −$3.1K: +$3.1K between them.
The whales on this market
14 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frigid-Gas
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 86¢ | $18K | — | +$3.0K |
| Trivial-Ravioli
228 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 90¢ | $9.7K | — | +$1.1K |
| Anxious-Shorts
21 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $5.5K | — |
| Grateful-Chest
183 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $4.4K | — |
| Slow-Escape
321 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 98¢ | $3.9K | — | +$80 |
| Luminous-Collision
46 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 86¢ | $3.5K | — | +$563 |
| Immense-Sitar
120 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 72¢ | $1.7K | — | +$673 |
| Lustrous-Feed
45 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $1.6K | — |
| Shameful-Delay
119 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Denis Shapovalov @ 40¢ | $1.6K | — | −$1.6K |
| Filthy-Pantologist
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 87¢ | $1.5K | — | +$227 |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,235 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Denis Shapovalov @ 16¢ | $1.5K | — | −$1.5K |
| Turbulent-Bore
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 83¢ | $1.4K | — | +$287 |
| Quirky-Woodchuck-Overload
6 settled bets Too few bets |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 82¢ | $1.4K | — | +$307 |
| Puzzled-Agenda
13 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.2K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
Carlos Alcaraz won$42K93% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $13K sold
-
Denis Shapovalov lost$3.1K7% of whale buying · 2 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 3 to Oct 4, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).