Coarse-Plenty

0x617b46903eaadc7dfb4f94e18408e2033ee3a499

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Coarse-Plenty: −$133 on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 40% (95% range 12%–77%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$133
return −2.4%
Settled bets
5
$5.5K staked
Won
40.0%
95% range 12%–77%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
−$674
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$541
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 SELL SV Werder Bremen @ 56¢
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5) $2.4K
Oct 8 SELL Maccabi Tel Aviv @ 99.15¢
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Olimpia Milano
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Olimpia Milano $1.6K
Oct 7 SELL Under @ 99.9¢
Pelicans vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5
Pelicans vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5 $2.2K
Oct 6 SELL Falcons @ 99.6¢
Falcons vs. Saints
Falcons vs. Saints $1.4K
Oct 4 SELL Seahawks @ 99.9¢
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5) $1.9K
Oct 4 SELL Cowboys @ 99.9¢
Cowboys vs. Texans
Cowboys vs. Texans $1.5K
Oct 3 BUY Wake Forest @ 84¢
Stanford vs. Wake Forest
Stanford vs. Wake Forest $2.9K
Aug 23 BUY Indiana Fever @ 54¢
Indiana Fever vs. Chicago Sky
Indiana Fever vs. Chicago Sky $1.1K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed