Polymarket market · Sports
Magic vs. Knicks
Resolved: Magic won · See it on Polymarket ↗
20 whales traded $160K on this market since Oct 25, 62% of their buying on Knicks. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 1.8¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Magic won, with 38% of the whale buying on it. Of the 17 whales whose whole position we captured, 10 made +$52K and 7 lost −$25K: +$27K between them. Biggest win: Cute-Legitimacy, +$29K on Magic. Biggest loss: Trivial-Ravioli, −$13K on Knicks.
The whales on this market
20 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Substantial-Service
1,055 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Knicks @ 77¢ | $66K | — | +$3.9K |
| Few-Concept-Twins
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Knicks @ 53¢ | $5.2K | $15K | — |
| Scary-Fannypack
269 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Magic @ 44¢ | $13K | — | +$5.9K |
| Trivial-Ravioli
327 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Knicks @ 82¢ | $13K | — | −$13K |
| Cute-Legitimacy
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Magic @ 23¢ | $8.8K | — | +$29K |
| Brilliant-Squirrel
6 settled bets Too few bets |
Knicks @ 74¢ | $3.0K | $3.1K | +$81 |
| Definitive-Reject
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Knicks @ 70¢ | $5.6K | — | −$5.6K |
| Vibrant-Kind
43 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Magic @ 99¢ | $4.0K | — | +$41 |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
5,056 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Knicks @ 72¢ | $3.8K | — | −$1.5K |
| Regular-Gallon
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Magic @ 26¢ | $3.7K | — | +$10K |
| Noisy-Word
53 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Magic @ 82¢ | $3.3K | — | +$720 |
| Milky-Kilt-Cockroach
17 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.0K | — |
| Imaginative-River
76 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Magic @ 99¢ | $2.0K | — | +$20 |
| Diligent-Lotion
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Knicks @ 53¢ | $1.6K | — | −$1.6K |
| Ordinary-Confectionery
9 settled bets Too few bets |
Knicks @ 72¢ | $1.5K | — | −$1.5K |
| Gloomy-Warfare
44 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Magic @ 98¢ | $1.5K | — | +$30 |
| Vicious-Poker-Artificer
25 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.3K | — |
| Powerless-Savannah
2,955 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Knicks @ 79¢ | $1.2K | — | −$1.2K |
| Slow-Regret
9 settled bets Too few bets |
Knicks @ 53¢ | $1.1K | — | −$1.1K |
| Key-Capability
123 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Magic @ 36¢ | $1.1K | — | +$1.9K |
Where the whale money went
-
Knicks lost$86K62% of whale buying · 11 buyers · $19K sold
-
Magic won$52K38% of whale buying · 10 buyers · $3.3K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 25 to Oct 26, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793084411).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raptors vs. Timberwolves | $309K | 31 | Won: Timberwolves | |
| Pistons vs. 76ers | $280K | 37 | Won: Pistons | |
| Clippers vs. Thunder | $57K | 11 | Won: Thunder | |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5) | $126K | 10 | Won: Grizzlies | |
| Pacers vs. Nets | $173K | 26 | Won: Pacers | |
| Chiefs vs. Seahawks | $423K | 34 | Won: Seahawks | |
| Grizzlies vs. Kings | $498K | 50 | Won: Grizzlies | |
| Lakers vs. Jazz | $242K | 38 | Won: Lakers |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?