Diligent-Lotion
0xf64745161e46cbd2143f021edd92cf6bed850ccb
Diligent-Lotion: +$6.3K on 16 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 75% (95% range 51%–90%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$6.3K
return +20.9%
Settled bets
16
$30K staked
Won
75.0%
95% range 51%–90%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 15 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 3
- +$87
- Sep 3 – Sep 17
- +$1.1K
- Sep 17 – Oct 1
- +$765
- Oct 1 – Oct 16
- +$4.3K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.7%
(2,012 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | BUY Milwaukee Brewers @ 66¢ | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers ↗ | $1.4K |
| Oct 15 | BUY Los Angeles Dodgers @ 53¢ | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers ↗ | $1.3K |
| Oct 13 | BUY Panathinaikos
@ 78¢
Partizan vs. Panathinaikos |
Partizan vs. Panathinaikos | $1.5K |
| Oct 13 | BUY Over
@ 77¢
Bills vs. Rams: O/U 40.5 |
Bills vs. Rams: O/U 40.5 | $3.2K |
| Oct 13 | BUY Bills @ 51¢ | Bills vs. Rams ↗ | $2.8K |
| Oct 9 | BUY No @ 73¢ | Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? ↗ | $1.7K |
| Oct 3 | BUY No
@ 94¢
Will Argentina vs. Burkina Faso end in a draw? |
Will Argentina vs. Burkina Faso end in a draw? | $3.7K |
| Sep 30 | BUY Philadelphia Phillies @ 40¢ | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves ↗ | $2.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.