Slow-Regret
0x819129ecbbebd2bfb718340364c700b2b7978a35
Slow-Regret: −$8.6K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 30%–90%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$8.6K
return −35.5%
Settled bets
6
$24K staked
Won
66.7%
95% range 30%–90%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$100
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$8.7K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Paper Rex
@ 97¢
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs |
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs | $6.8K |
| Oct 9 | BUY No
@ 84¢
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | $3.0K |
| Oct 9 | BUY No
@ 73¢
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | $3.0K |
| Oct 8 | BUY No
@ 98¢
Will Lithuania win on 2026-10-09? |
Will Lithuania win on 2026-10-09? | $1.5K |
| Sep 19 | BUY No
@ 99¢
Bury Town FC leading at halftime? |
Bury Town FC leading at halftime? | $5.0K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Yes
@ 99¢
Bury Town FC vs. Workington AFC: Draw at halftime? |
Bury Town FC vs. Workington AFC: Draw at halftime? | $5.0K |
All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.