Wry-Coke
Skill vs luck
Wry-Coke on Polymarket: 13 settled bets · won 62% (95% range 36%–82%) · profit +$6.8K. Skill vs luck: can't be told from luck. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Wry-Coke: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x4c999cfdac664b015757d540653c30dc8e0720ea. Data CC BY 4.0.
Wry-Coke: +$6.8K on 13 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 62% (95% range 36%–82%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 11 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 22 – Oct 8
- −$4.6K
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- +$11K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | BUY Spurs @ 50¢ | Spread: Spurs (-14.5) ↗ | $4.0K |
| Oct 24 | BUY Under
@ 48¢
Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 229.5 |
Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 229.5 | $4.7K |
| Oct 24 | BUY Under
@ 48¢
Rockets vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5 |
Rockets vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5 | $4.1K |
| Oct 23 | SELL Under
@ 50¢
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 235.5 |
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 235.5 | $5.0K |
| Oct 21 | BUY Hawks
@ 48¢
Spread: Magic (-1.5) |
Spread: Magic (-1.5) | $1.3K |
| Oct 14 | BUY Suns
@ 47¢
Spread: Spurs (-9.5) |
Spread: Spurs (-9.5) | $1.9K |
| Oct 14 | BUY Suns
@ 47¢
Spread: Spurs (-9.5) |
Spread: Spurs (-9.5) | $1.1K |
| Oct 10 | BUY Suns
@ 49¢
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) |
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) | $1.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?