Terrible-Garage
0x762ee19681f0482dfe3e44ca42e9a26b34564bf0
Terrible-Garage: −$12K on 21 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 38% (95% range 21%–59%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$12K
return −36.2%
Settled bets
21
$33K staked
Won
38.1%
95% range 21%–59%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 20 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$11K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$1.5K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11 | BUY Under
@ 59¢
Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club León FC: O/U 2.5 |
Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club León FC: O/U 2.5 | $1.5K |
| Aug 30 | BUY New York Mets
@ 54¢
Houston Astros vs. New York Mets |
Houston Astros vs. New York Mets | $1.2K |
| Aug 30 | BUY No
@ 55¢
Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-08-30? |
Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-08-30? | $3.4K |
| Aug 30 | BUY No
@ 51¢
Will Rangers FC win on 2026-08-30? |
Will Rangers FC win on 2026-08-30? | $2.4K |
| Aug 28 | BUY Under
@ 55¢
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5 |
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5 | $1.5K |
| Aug 28 | BUY Raiders
@ 63¢
49ers vs. Raiders |
49ers vs. Raiders | $1.5K |
| Aug 28 | BUY New York Mets
@ 60¢
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-4.5) |
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-4.5) | $1.7K |
| Aug 26 | BUY New York Mets
@ 54¢
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) |
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) | $2.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.