Embarrassed-Bladder

0x16e588d2c09533bdbb3ff337fa74160a644cc50a

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Embarrassed-Bladder: +$1.0K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 21%–94%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$1.0K
return +19.4%
Settled bets
3
$5.3K staked
Won
66.7%
95% range 21%–94%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$3.2K
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$2.2K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 5 BUY No @ 59¢
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-09-05?
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-09-05? $2.2K
Aug 23 BUY No @ 45¢
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-22?
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-22? $2.1K
Aug 22 BUY Yes @ 60¢
Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-22?
Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-22? $1.0K

All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed