Polymarket market · Other

Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-08-30?

Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗

9 whales put $80K into this market since Aug 31, 52% of their buying on No. No won. Of the 8 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$38K and 5 lost −$33K: +$4.8K between them.

The whales on this market

9 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Educated-Stonework
41 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 44¢ $30K — +$38K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,575 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 54¢ $21K — −$17K
Urban-Cape-Disk
81 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 50¢ $10K — −$10K
Scary-Edible
1,378 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 67¢ $8.8K — +$341
Yawning-Chicken
241 settled bets Worse than the odds
Yes @ 54¢ $3.9K — −$3.9K
Flawed-Trance
82 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $2.9K —
Agitated-Bricklaying
493 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 53¢ $1.3K — −$1.3K
Unaware-Listing
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99.9¢ $1.3K — +$1
Scented-Publisher-Mustache
1 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 51¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. No won
    $40K
    52% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $2.9K sold
  2. Yes lost
    $27K
    35% of whale buying · 5 buyers
  3. Yes lost
    $10K
    13% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 31, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed