Polymarket market · Other
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗
16 whales put $224K into this market since Aug 20, 100% of their buying on No. No won. Of the 6 whales whose whole position we captured, 6 made +$287 and 0 lost $0: +$287 between them.
The whales on this market
16 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fatal-Pottery
4 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99.9¢ | $109K | — | +$109 |
| Angelic-Enemy-Weeder
10 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99.3¢ | $21K | $30K | — |
| Attached-Example-Anesthesiologist
64 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 99.3¢ | $15K | — | +$105 |
| Digital-Academy
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $13K | — |
| Simple-Tradition
32 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 99¢ | $2.5K | $5.0K | — |
| Quick-Cardboard
14 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $4.1K | — |
| Chief-Spray
2 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99¢ | $4.0K | — | +$44 |
| Tough-Investigator
2 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $3.4K | — |
| Frilly-Lyrics
3 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99.7¢ | $3.3K | — | +$10 |
| Fearless-Misnomer
35 settled bets Worse than the odds |
sold only | $0 | $3.1K | — |
| Nimble-Soliloquy
8 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99.3¢ | $2.2K | — | +$15 |
| Wilted-Bump
2 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99.8¢ | $1.8K | — | +$4 |
| Gummy-Investigation
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.7K | — |
| Diligent-Scenario
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.7K | — |
| Carefree-Activist
3 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.6K | — |
| Fluffy-Confidentiality
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.4K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
No won$159K100% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $60K sold
-
No lost$00% of whale buying · 0 buyers · $5.0K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 20 to Aug 31, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1791710133).