Polymarket market · Other

Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?

Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗

9 whales put $336K into this market since Aug 23, 99% of their buying on No. No won. Of the 8 whales whose whole position we captured, 7 made +$18K and 1 lost −$3.3K: +$14K between them.

The whales on this market

9 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Narrow-Authorization
57 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 95¢ $231K — +$12K
Submissive-Clan
10 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 95¢ $77K — +$3.9K
Yellow-Alphabet
46 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 90¢ $7.1K — +$829
Teeming-Ritual
45 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 95¢ $6.1K — +$309
Trivial-Ravioli
249 settled bets Worse than the odds
No @ 95¢ $4.8K — +$240
Corrupt-Poisoning
284 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99¢ $3.6K — +$49
Ill-Fated-Hourglass-Loincloth
1 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 11¢ $3.3K — −$3.3K
Whimsical-Seller
2 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 88¢ $2.4K — +$324
0xfffadf38a520cd5a0035ff52d7fceb436a08864b
3 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.1K —

Where the whale money went

  1. No won
    $332K
    99% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $1.1K sold
  2. Yes lost
    $3.3K
    1% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 23 to Aug 31, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed