Polymarket market · Other

Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5

Resolved: Under won · See it on Polymarket ↗

15 whales put $58K into this market since Aug 29, 59% of their buying on Under. Under won. Of the 15 whales whose whole position we captured, 9 made +$7.5K and 6 lost −$20K: −$12K between them.

The whales on this market

15 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,172 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Over @ 45¢ $12K — −$9.4K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,235 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Under @ 76¢ $11K — −$1.1K
Homely-Zucchini-Bit
195 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Under @ 92¢ $4.9K — +$426
General-Cenotaph-Deformation
18 settled bets Too few bets
Under @ 92¢ $4.5K — +$402
Miserable-Poison
955 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Under @ 65¢ $4.2K — +$616
Glaring-Salt
1,449 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Under @ 79¢ $4.0K — +$1.1K
Imaginary-Gallery
230 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Over @ 50¢ $3.4K — −$3.4K
Prickly-Clasp-Discount
207 settled bets Beat the odds*
Under @ 53¢ $2.6K — +$2.3K
Honorable-Pad
6 settled bets Too few bets
Over @ 44¢ $2.4K — −$2.4K
Mellow-Anywhere
2 settled bets Too few bets
Over @ 44¢ $2.2K — −$2.2K
Unacceptable-Barn
87 settled bets Beat the odds*
Under @ 92¢ $2.0K — +$178
Scary-Edible
1,330 settled bets Beat the odds*
Under @ 45¢ $1.8K — +$2.2K
Frivolous-Risk
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Under @ 90¢ $1.5K — +$166
Sudden-Hide
116 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Over @ 46¢ $1.3K — −$1.3K
Repentant-Dahlia
34 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Under @ 92¢ $1.0K — +$88

Where the whale money went

  1. Under won
    $34K
    59% of whale buying · 11 buyers
  2. Over lost
    $24K
    41% of whale buying · 7 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 29, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed