Honorable-Pad

0x2220498c3b544b9dd9c062ccf4ab9c0ff2191a0f

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Honorable-Pad: −$9.3K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 17% (95% range 3%–56%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$9.3K
return −85.8%
Settled bets
6
$11K staked
Won
16.7%
95% range 3%–56%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$8.8K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$1.7K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$1.1K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 25 BUY Over @ 66¢
Georgia vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 0.5
Georgia vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 0.5 $1.1K
Sep 25 BUY Over @ 65¢
Georgia vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 0.5
Georgia vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 0.5 $1.0K
Sep 12 SELL Over @ 51¢
Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5
Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5 $1.7K
Aug 30 SELL Over @ 99.8¢
Eyüpspor vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 2.5
Eyüpspor vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 2.5 $3.4K
Aug 30 BUY Over @ 83¢
Eyüpspor vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 2.5
Eyüpspor vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 2.5 $6.4K
Aug 30 SELL Over @ 99.9¢
FC Augsburg vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 2.5
FC Augsburg vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 2.5 $9.1K
Aug 29 BUY Over @ 44¢
Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5
Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5 $2.4K

All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed