Lustrous-Parchment
0x2136af6ba9332e2947d5c477aa8ab807f64cee56
Lustrous-Parchment: +$16 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$16
return +1.4%
Settled bets
2
$1.2K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 10%–91%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$16
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23 | SELL No
@ 74¢
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? |
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | $1.6K |
| Sep 19 | BUY No
@ 82¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | $2.0K |
| Sep 19 | BUY No
@ 82¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | $2.2K |
| Sep 18 | SELL No
@ 93¢
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | $6.1K |
| Sep 18 | SELL No
@ 94¢
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026? |
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026? | $1.5K |
| Sep 15 | SELL No
@ 94¢
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | $1.5K |
| Sep 14 | BUY No
@ 97¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15? |
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15? | $1.2K |
| Sep 14 | SELL No
@ 99.2¢
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? |
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | $2.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.