Flat-Asparagus

0xe27c1f399b451496845eef2a8cfd2c25715f51db

Skill vs luck

Flat-Asparagus on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 100% (95% range 44%–100%) · profit +$2.0K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +0.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 3, 2026.

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Cite: Hopium Games, “Flat-Asparagus: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 3, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xe27c1f399b451496845eef2a8cfd2c25715f51db. Data CC BY 4.0.

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Flat-Asparagus: +$2.0K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 44%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$2.0K
return +15.5%
Settled bets
3
$13K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 44%–100%
Mostly bets on
crypto

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$2.0K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made +0.2% (2,674 positions).
About this data · run 1793689244, computed 2026-11-03 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793689244 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed