Noteworthy-Depth
0xd5c1d2f52eb8c7dcd128d1dfa7f12926b1fa5280
Noteworthy-Depth: −$946 on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 80% (95% range 38%–96%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$946
return −0.6%
Settled bets
5
$166K staked
Won
80.0%
95% range 38%–96%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$6.7K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$7.7K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18 | BUY No
@ 99¢
Iran leadership change by September 30? |
Iran leadership change by September 30? | $14K |
| Sep 18 | BUY No
@ 99¢
Iran leadership change by September 30? |
Iran leadership change by September 30? | $10K |
| Sep 18 | BUY No
@ 99¢
Iran leadership change by September 30? |
Iran leadership change by September 30? | $8.5K |
| Sep 18 | BUY No
@ 99¢
Iran leadership change by September 30? |
Iran leadership change by September 30? | $25K |
| Sep 18 | BUY No
@ 99¢
Iran leadership change by September 30? |
Iran leadership change by September 30? | $2.0K |
| Sep 5 | BUY No
@ 97¢
Iran leadership change by September 30? |
Iran leadership change by September 30? | $33K |
| Sep 4 | BUY No
@ 98¢
Iran leadership change by September 30? |
Iran leadership change by September 30? | $20K |
| Aug 22 | BUY No
@ 99.3¢
Iran leadership change by August 31? |
Iran leadership change by August 31? | $20K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.