Polymarket market · Other
Iran leadership change by October 31?
Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗
12 whales traded $52K on this market since Sep 6, 100% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 0.3¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. No won, with 100% of the whale buying on it. Of the 6 whales whose whole position we captured, 6 made +$711 and 0 lost $0: +$711 between them. Biggest win: Attached-Example-Anesthesiologist, +$260 on No.
The whales on this market
12 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Attached-Example-Anesthesiologist
91 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 98¢ | $15K | — | +$260 |
| Kaleidoscopic-Camp
37 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 99¢ | $14K | — | +$202 |
| Small-Pompom
13 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $5.2K | — |
| Flashy-Label
39 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 99.9¢ | $4.0K | — | +$4 |
| Narrow-Rhythm
3 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 94¢ | $3.0K | — | +$191 |
| Faraway-Hardcover
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.8K | — |
| Meaty-Place
5 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 98¢ | $1.9K | — | +$39 |
| Legitimate-Airman
8 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.2K | — |
| Humiliating-Civilian
2 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.2K | — |
| Silent-Obsidian
6 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.2K | — |
| True-Foreigner
1 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99¢ | $1.0K | — | +$15 |
| Loathsome-Ox
3 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.0K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
No won$39K100% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $13K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 6 to Oct 31, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793602824).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Notre Dame (-30.5) | $74K | 5 | Won: Navy | |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-31? | $126K | 7 | Won: Yes | |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | $55K | 7 | Open | |
| Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FURIA (BO5) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs | $783K | 81 | Won: FURIA | |
| Bologna FC 1909 vs. AC Monza: O/U 2.5 | $82K | 10 | Won: Over | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | $244K | 15 | Won: No | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | $755K | 81 | Open | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | $99K | 24 | Open |