Faraway-Hardcover
Skill vs luck
Faraway-Hardcover on Polymarket: 1 settled bet · won 0% (95% range 0%–79%) · profit −$86. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +2.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 2, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Faraway-Hardcover: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 2, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x8c57f67ac7cc69a4cf96be5747cb2ed63dc9f939. Data CC BY 4.0.
Faraway-Hardcover: −$86 on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 18 – Nov 2
- −$86
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | SELL No @ 87¢ | Iran leadership change by December 31? ↗ | $15K |
| Oct 19 | SELL Yes @ 74¢ | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? ↗ | $3.3K |
| Oct 19 | SELL No @ 97¢ | Iran leadership change by October 31? ↗ | $2.8K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.