Humiliating-Civilian
Skill vs luck
Humiliating-Civilian on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 10%–91%) · profit +$1. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +2.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 2, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Humiliating-Civilian: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 2, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x2ed634efe878fa081606193f8ea0b0bd5545b0b3. Data CC BY 4.0.
Humiliating-Civilian: +$1 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Aug 20 – Sep 3
- +$6
- Oct 18 – Nov 2
- −$5
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30 | SELL No @ 99.6¢ | Iran leadership change by October 31? ↗ | $1.2K |
All 1 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.