Polymarket market · Other

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-31?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

7 whales traded $126K on this market since Oct 30, 92% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 6 minutes later would have cost 1.2¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Yes won, with 8% of the whale buying on it. Of the 7 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$12K and 4 lost −$116K: −$104K between them. Biggest win: Gleeful-Cauliflower, +$9.6K on Yes. Biggest loss: Vivid-Ski, −$46K on No.

The whales on this market

7 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Vivid-Ski
59 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 62¢ $46K — −$46K
Agitated-Bricklaying
569 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 61¢ $38K — −$38K
Fake-Bitter
1,666 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 61¢ $26K — −$26K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
5,811 settled bets Beat the odds*
Yes @ 43¢ $7.1K — +$9.6K
Dual-Criticism
123 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 60¢ $5.6K — −$5.6K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
5,712 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 39¢ $1.4K — +$2.2K
Orderly-Venture
170 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 94¢ $1.1K — +$70

Where the whale money went

  1. No lost
    $116K
    92% of whale buying · 4 buyers
  2. Yes won
    $9.6K
    8% of whale buying · 3 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 30 to Oct 31, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793516413).

More other markets the whales bet on

All Other →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Spread: Notre Dame (-30.5) $74K 5 Won: Navy
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? $55K 7 Open
Iran leadership change by October 31? $52K 12 Won: No
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? $64K 16 Open
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FURIA (BO5) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs $783K 81 Won: FURIA
Bologna FC 1909 vs. AC Monza: O/U 2.5 $82K 10 Won: Over
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? $131K 22 Open
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? $244K 15 Won: No
About this data · run 1793516413, computed 2026-11-01 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793516413 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed