Legitimate-Airman
0xb1a190be02cafacb6c30b98beb621503d5e2d308
Legitimate-Airman: −$2.5K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–39%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$2.5K
return −122.8%
Settled bets
6
$2.0K staked
Won
0.0%
95% range 0%–39%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$2.5K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$34
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3 | SELL No
@ 97¢
Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
Xi Jinping out before 2027? | $2.0K |
| Oct 1 | BUY No
@ 92¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | $1.0K |
| Oct 1 | BUY No
@ 97¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | $2.0K |
| Sep 22 | SELL No
@ 99.1¢
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $3.7K |
| Sep 13 | SELL Yes
@ 86¢
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? |
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | $1.6K |
| Sep 13 | SELL Yes
@ 87¢
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? |
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | $2.1K |
| Sep 9 | BUY No
@ 94¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31? |
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31? | $1.4K |
| Sep 6 | BUY No
@ 93¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | $1.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.