Polymarket market · Other

Will Argentina win on 2026-10-06?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

13 whales put $112K into this market since Oct 6, 98% of their buying on Yes. Yes won. Of the 10 whales whose whole position we captured, 9 made +$2.0K and 1 lost −$2.0K: +$17 between them.

The whales on this market

13 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
0xe015…6ffd
113 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 98¢ $69K — +$1.6K
Tough-Hammer
58 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 99.7¢ $7.9K — +$24
Rotating-Snuggle
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $7.8K —
Fake-Bitter
1,081 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 98¢ $6.7K — +$105
Political-Casualty-Riding
5 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 99.9¢ $4.6K — +$5
Elegant-Plugin
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 99¢ $3.5K — +$53
Kosher-Refuse
309 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 98¢ $2.7K — +$49
Front-Gate
39 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 98¢ $2.0K — +$33
Substantial-Service
750 settled bets Beat the odds*
No @ 2¢ $2.0K — −$2.0K
Victorious-Carpenter
10 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.8K —
Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,072 settled bets Beat the odds*
Yes @ 94¢ $1.7K — +$108
Spicy-Dueling
47 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 99.9¢ $1.6K — +$2
High-Level-Crinoline
14 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.0K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes won
    $100K
    98% of whale buying · 9 buyers · $11K sold
  2. No lost
    $2.0K
    2% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 6 to Oct 7, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed