High-Level-Crinoline

0xb489f3aa0dafd8547c65e03a6c03ac7596944944

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

High-Level-Crinoline: +$123 on 14 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 27%–73%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$123
return +1.7%
Settled bets
14
$7.3K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 27%–73%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$54
Sep 6 – Sep 24
+$27
Sep 24 – Oct 12
+$43
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 7 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-10-06?
Will Argentina win on 2026-10-06? $1.0K
Oct 4 BUY Solary @ 99¢
LoL: Solary vs Barça eSports (BO5) - EMEA Masters Knockout Stage
LoL: Solary vs Barça eSports (BO5) - EMEA Masters Knockout Stage $1.0K
Oct 2 SELL Under @ 99.9¢
Belgium vs. Türkiye: O/U 8.5
Belgium vs. Türkiye: O/U 8.5 $1.1K
Oct 2 BUY Under @ 98¢
Kazakhstan vs. Moldova: O/U 5.5
Kazakhstan vs. Moldova: O/U 5.5 $1.1K
Oct 2 SELL South Korea @ 99.9¢
LoL: Chinese Taipei vs South Korea (BO5) - Asian Games Playoffs
LoL: Chinese Taipei vs South Korea (BO5) - Asian Games Playoffs $1.1K
Oct 1 BUY South Korea @ 99¢
LoL: Chinese Taipei vs South Korea (BO5) - Asian Games Playoffs
LoL: Chinese Taipei vs South Korea (BO5) - Asian Games Playoffs $1.1K
Oct 1 SELL Under @ 99.9¢
Azerbaijan vs. Liechtenstein: O/U 6.5
Azerbaijan vs. Liechtenstein: O/U 6.5 $1.1K
Sep 10 BUY No @ 97¢
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-09-10?
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-09-10? $1.0K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed