Polymarket market · Sports

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

13 whales put $301K into this market since Aug 27, 90% of their buying on No. Yes won. Of the 11 whales whose whole position we captured, 7 made +$10K and 4 lost −$267K: −$257K between them.

The whales on this market

13 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
888 settled bets Worse than the odds
No @ 43¢ $146K — −$146K
Pristine-Hatred
96 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 41¢ $118K — −$118K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,235 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 58¢ $9.1K — −$1.3K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,172 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 99¢ $5.4K — −$1.9K
0x075d…58c1
14 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 60¢ $4.1K — +$2.7K
Crowded-Jackal
40 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 58¢ $4.0K — +$2.9K
Unsteady-Driveway
4 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $3.1K —
Yummy-Cosset
3 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 81¢ $2.6K — +$619
Kosher-Refuse
275 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 59¢ $2.1K — +$1.5K
Vicious-Salt
2 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 95¢ $1.9K — +$100
Mortified-Keystone
98 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 59¢ $1.8K — +$1.2K
Superior-Artificer-Heifer
101 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 59¢ $1.5K — +$1.0K
Dull-Creation
14 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.0K —

Where the whale money went

  1. No lost
    $267K
    90% of whale buying · 3 buyers
  2. Yes won
    $26K
    9% of whale buying · 9 buyers · $4.2K sold
  3. Yes lost
    $3.8K
    1% of whale buying · 2 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 27 to Aug 28, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed