Unsteady-Driveway

0x474c9eeaa8b3a5bbee81f4877bf4304774916625

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Unsteady-Driveway: +$844 on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 25% (95% range 5%–70%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$844
return —
Settled bets
4
$0 staked
Won
25.0%
95% range 5%–70%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
−$201
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$1.3K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
−$210
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 26 SELL Team Vitality @ 83¢
Valorant: Global Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B
Valorant: Global Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B $1.0K
Sep 24 SELL @ 99.5¢
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C AND Valorant: TYLOO vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C AND Valorant: TYLOO vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C $1.7K
Sep 14 SELL Dplus KIA Challengers @ 44¢
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs $1.3K
Aug 28 SELL Yes @ 94¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28?
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28? $3.1K
Aug 22 SELL Team Liquid @ 99.9¢
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs $1.2K

All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed