Polymarket market · Sports
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?
Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗
16 whales traded $174K on this market since Oct 24, 60% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 0.8¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Yes won, with 40% of the whale buying on it. Of the 10 whales whose whole position we captured, 6 made +$135K and 4 lost −$93K: +$42K between them. Biggest win: Dizzy-Coliseum, +$96K on Yes. Biggest loss: Illustrious-Budget, −$76K on No.
The whales on this market
16 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illustrious-Budget
74 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 82¢ | $76K | — | −$76K |
| Dizzy-Coliseum
45 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 19¢ | $23K | — | +$96K |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
4,922 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Yes @ 45¢ | $16K | — | +$20K |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
4,854 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 54¢ | $15K | — | +$13K |
| Trusting-Heartache
3 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $9.8K | — |
| Substantial-Service
1,009 settled bets Beat the odds* |
No @ 81¢ | $7.9K | — | −$7.9K |
| Forked-Pricing
223 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 82¢ | $7.5K | — | −$7.5K |
| Corrupt-Barrel
6 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 84¢ | $5.2K | — | +$965 |
| Silky-Subroutine
291 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 68¢ | $2.5K | $1.9K | — |
| Miserable-Poison
1,324 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 33¢ | $1.9K | — | +$3.8K |
| Prickly-Clasp-Discount
303 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 78¢ | $1.8K | — | −$1.8K |
| Weak-Dresser-Amenity
3 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.5K | — |
| Well-Documented-Retailer
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.4K | — |
| Wee-Teepee
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 49¢ | $1.2K | — | +$1.2K |
| Stormy-Wage
10 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.0K | — |
| Anchored-Litigation
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $1.0K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
No lost$95K60% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $3.5K sold
-
Yes won$63K40% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $13K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 24, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792911646).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24? | $399K | 21 | Won: No | |
| Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5 | $96K | 7 | Won: Under | |
| Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Dayana Yastremska vs Xiaodi You | $68K | 3 | Won: Dayana Yastremska | |
| Will Everton FC win on 2026-10-24? | $52K | 7 | Won: No | |
| Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5 | $109K | 3 | Won: Over | |
| Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) | $58K | 5 | Won: Arsenal FC | |
| UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims) | $136K | 19 | Won: Grant Dawson | |
| Lyon Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Lorenzo Musetti | $52K | 17 | Won: Lorenzo Musetti |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?