Weak-Dresser-Amenity
Skill vs luck
Weak-Dresser-Amenity on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 100% (95% range 44%–100%) · profit +$1.8K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Weak-Dresser-Amenity: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xedd8f63b6299bf8704bfc3503099c6f1687be118. Data CC BY 4.0.
Weak-Dresser-Amenity: +$1.8K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 44%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- +$1.8K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | SELL No @ 62¢ | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24? ↗ | $1.5K |
| Oct 17 | BUY No
@ 85¢
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-10-17? |
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-10-17? | $1.3K |
| Oct 17 | BUY No
@ 98¢
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-17? |
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-17? | $1.2K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?