Polymarket market · Sports
Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5
Resolved: Under won · See it on Polymarket ↗
7 whales traded $96K on this market since Oct 24, 83% of their buying on Over. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 1.6¢ more per share, with 99% of the size there to buy. Under won, with 17% of the whale buying on it. Of the 7 whales whose whole position we captured, 4 made +$8.4K and 3 lost −$79K: −$71K between them. Biggest win: Gleeful-Cauliflower, +$4.3K on Under. Biggest loss: Kosher-Refuse, −$73K on Over.
The whales on this market
7 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kosher-Refuse
391 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Over @ 49¢ | $73K | — | −$73K |
| 0x8191…da72
336 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Under @ 77¢ | $6.0K | — | +$1.7K |
| Insecure-Aluminum-Presume
60 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Over @ 49¢ | $4.9K | — | −$4.9K |
| Open-Fingernail-Bullet
151 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Under @ 75¢ | $4.2K | — | +$1.4K |
| Fake-Bitter
1,429 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Over @ 49¢ | $3.6K | — | −$951 |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
4,922 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Under @ 46¢ | $3.6K | — | +$4.3K |
| Actual-Respite
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Under @ 50¢ | $1.0K | — | +$1.0K |
Where the whale money went
-
Over lost$80K83% of whale buying · 3 buyers
-
Under won$16K17% of whale buying · 5 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 24, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792911646).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24? | $174K | 16 | Won: Yes | |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24? | $399K | 21 | Won: No | |
| Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Dayana Yastremska vs Xiaodi You | $68K | 3 | Won: Dayana Yastremska | |
| Will Everton FC win on 2026-10-24? | $52K | 7 | Won: No | |
| Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5 | $109K | 3 | Won: Over | |
| Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) | $58K | 5 | Won: Arsenal FC | |
| UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims) | $136K | 19 | Won: Grant Dawson | |
| Lyon Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Lorenzo Musetti | $52K | 17 | Won: Lorenzo Musetti |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?