Substantial-Stock
0x824978ad8f2aa87ec22da2df99ffbb7d58e0b23a
Substantial-Stock: +$5.7K on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 89% (95% range 56%–98%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$5.7K
return +37.9%
Settled bets
9
$15K staked
Won
88.9%
95% range 56%–98%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 9 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$4.5K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$1.2K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | BUY Yes
@ 70¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10? |
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10? | $1.0K |
| Oct 9 | BUY No
@ 85¢
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-10-09? |
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-10-09? | $3.1K |
| Oct 9 | BUY No
@ 87¢
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-10-08? |
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-10-08? | $1.2K |
| Sep 24 | BUY No
@ 96¢
Will Vancouver FC win on 2026-09-23? |
Will Vancouver FC win on 2026-09-23? | $1.3K |
| Sep 22 | BUY Yes
@ 87¢
Will FC Bayern München vs. Manchester City WFC end in a draw? |
Will FC Bayern München vs. Manchester City WFC end in a draw? | $1.2K |
| Sep 19 | BUY No
@ 73¢
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-09-19? |
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-09-19? | $2.3K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Yes
@ 40¢
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-09-19? |
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-09-19? | $1.3K |
| Sep 19 | BUY No
@ 29¢
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-09-19? |
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-09-19? | $1.3K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.