Polymarket market · Other

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-16?

Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗

14 whales put $65K into this market since Sep 16, 73% of their buying on Yes. No won. Of the 12 whales whose whole position we captured, 6 made +$8.8K and 6 lost −$42K: −$33K between them.

The whales on this market

14 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Unsteady-Agency
35 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 74¢ $20K — −$20K
Urban-Cape-Disk
80 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 60¢ $12K — −$12K
0xa0f2…1848
130 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 64¢ $7.3K — −$7.3K
Edible-Gum
126 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 46¢ $5.2K — +$448
Miserable-Poison
955 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 85¢ $4.3K — −$445
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,235 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 98¢ $2.7K — +$56
Welcome-Concept
46 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $2.5K —
First-Sousaphone
53 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 48¢ $2.4K — +$2.6K
Exemplary-Shoreline
48 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 47¢ $2.4K — +$2.7K
Black-Plug
3 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 87¢ $1.3K — −$1.3K
Male-Possibility
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.3K —
Foolish-Mango
222 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 41¢ $1.1K — +$1.6K
Wry-Sociology-Section
9 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 44¢ $1.1K — +$1.4K
Flippant-Optimal-Science
27 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 54¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes lost
    $45K
    73% of whale buying · 6 buyers
  2. No won
    $14K
    22% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $3.8K sold
  3. No lost
    $2.6K
    4% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 16, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed