Black-Plug
0xfa023e33bf62f24ab63c2fe92b451fe361b78b07
Black-Plug: −$178 on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 21%–94%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$178
return −3.4%
Settled bets
3
$5.2K staked
Won
66.7%
95% range 21%–94%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$697
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$520
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | SELL Team Falcons
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $1.4K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Aurora Gaming
@ 77¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $1.6K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Vitality
@ 83¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO5) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO5) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs | $2.5K |
| Sep 17 | BUY Aurora Gaming
@ 69¢
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs | $1.3K |
| Sep 16 | BUY Yes
@ 87¢
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-16? |
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-16? | $1.3K |
All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.