Unsteady-Agency
0xb4eea1c82f0c4cf7e02e69212bd447a63314cc59
Unsteady-Agency: −$13K on 35 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 66% (95% range 49%–79%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$13K
return −10.0%
Settled bets
35
$127K staked
Won
65.7%
95% range 49%–79%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 32 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$3.0K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$15K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$471
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | BUY Yes
@ 75¢
Will Japan vs. Uruguay end in a draw? |
Will Japan vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | $1.2K |
| Sep 23 | SELL No
@ 82¢
Will Brooklyn FC win on 2026-09-23? |
Will Brooklyn FC win on 2026-09-23? | $2.9K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Yes
@ 75¢
Will Spain win on 2026-09-23? |
Will Spain win on 2026-09-23? | $1.2K |
| Sep 23 | BUY No
@ 80¢
Will Brooklyn FC win on 2026-09-23? |
Will Brooklyn FC win on 2026-09-23? | $2.2K |
| Sep 23 | BUY No
@ 78¢
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-04-12? |
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-04-12? | $1.4K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Yes
@ 60¢
Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-19? |
Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-19? | $1.5K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Yes
@ 59¢
Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-19? |
Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-19? | $2.0K |
| Sep 17 | BUY Yes
@ 78¢
Will Denver Summit FC win on 2026-09-16? |
Will Denver Summit FC win on 2026-09-16? | $1.6K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.