Polymarket market · Other

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage

Resolved: Spirit won · See it on Polymarket ↗

15 whales put $91K into this market since Oct 7, 90% of their buying on Spirit. Spirit won. Of the 13 whales whose whole position we captured, 10 made +$8.7K and 3 lost −$7.0K: +$1.7K between them.

The whales on this market

15 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Rash-Barometer
375 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Spirit @ 86¢ $32K — +$5.2K
Ironclad-Instructor
85 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Spirit @ 87¢ $6.4K $7.4K +$953
Distant-Pomelo
158 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $11K —
Large-Clue
9 settled bets Too few bets
Spirit @ 98¢ $4.9K — +$97
Cuddly-Battalion
27 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Spirit @ 87¢ $4.4K — +$660
Nervous-Parallelogram
346 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Spirit @ 86¢ $4.3K — −$4.3K
Required-Sorbet
15 settled bets Too few bets
Spirit @ 88¢ $3.6K — +$481
Different-Locker
8 settled bets Too few bets
Spirit @ 87¢ $3.5K — +$517
Forsaken-Hat
1 settled bets Too few bets
Spirit @ 95¢ $2.9K — +$150
Biodegradable-Eve-Feather
8 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.1K —
All-Peasant-Drug
891 settled bets Worse than the odds
Spirit @ 87¢ $2.0K — +$293
Terrible-Isolation-Birdhouse
30 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Spirit @ 87¢ $1.8K — +$269
Gregarious-Instrumentation
40 settled bets Can't tell from luck
M80 @ 13¢ $1.7K — −$1.7K
Worse-Alcove-Umbrella
5 settled bets Too few bets
M80 @ 14¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K
0x6bc9…8008
3 settled bets Too few bets
Spirit @ 87¢ $1.0K — +$153

Where the whale money went

  1. Spirit won
    $63K
    90% of whale buying · 10 buyers · $21K sold
  2. Spirit lost
    $4.3K
    6% of whale buying · 1 buyer
  3. M80 lost
    $2.7K
    4% of whale buying · 2 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 7, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed