Large-Clue

0x9adf697c265f8c8807e286cbf75a3a2e857955e8

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Large-Clue: −$2.1K on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 35%–88%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$2.1K
return −12.5%
Settled bets
9
$17K staked
Won
66.7%
95% range 35%–88%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 8 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$2.5K
Sep 24 – Oct 12
+$396
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 7 BUY Spirit @ 99¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage $3.3K
Oct 7 BUY Spirit @ 97¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage $1.6K
Oct 6 BUY Team Falcons @ 96¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage $1.2K
Sep 30 BUY T1 Academy @ 93¢
LoL: T1 Academy vs Galions (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs
LoL: T1 Academy vs Galions (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs $2.0K
Sep 30 BUY Team Vitality @ 91¢
Valorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD - Map 1 Winner
Valorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD - Map 1 Winner $1.0K
Sep 5 SELL G2 Esports @ 99.9¢
LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports (BO5) - LEC Playoffs $4.0K
Sep 2 BUY Hanwha Life Esports @ 94¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs $1.8K
Sep 2 BUY Hanwha Life Esports @ 88¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs $1.8K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed