Polymarket market · Other

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs magic (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2 Playoffs

Resolved: PARIVISION won · See it on Polymarket ↗

11 whales traded $55K on this market since Oct 17, 69% of their buying on magic. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 0.9¢ more per share, with 92% of the size there to buy. PARIVISION won, with 32% of the whale buying on it. Of the 11 whales whose whole position we captured, 5 made +$12K and 6 lost −$38K: −$26K between them. Biggest win: Sardonic-Hub, +$4.6K on PARIVISION. Biggest loss: Gregarious-Instrumentation, −$23K on magic.

The whales on this market

11 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Gregarious-Instrumentation
54 settled bets Can't tell from luck
magic @ 39¢ $23K — −$23K
Sardonic-Hub
33 settled bets Can't tell from luck
PARIVISION @ 59¢ $6.7K — +$4.6K
Terrible-Isolation-Birdhouse
50 settled bets Can't tell from luck
PARIVISION @ 59¢ $6.0K — +$4.2K
Playful-Artist
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck
magic @ 39¢ $5.9K — −$5.9K
Fake-Bitter
1,253 settled bets Can't tell from luck
magic @ 39¢ $3.9K — −$3.9K
Impassioned-Tuber
1 settled bets Too few bets
PARIVISION @ 59¢ $2.0K — +$1.4K
Writhing-Round
43 settled bets Can't tell from luck
magic @ 42¢ $1.7K — −$1.7K
Basic-Specialty-Reveal
6 settled bets Too few bets
PARIVISION @ 59¢ $1.5K — +$1.0K
Plush-Debate-Paddle
4 settled bets Too few bets
magic @ 39¢ $1.4K — −$1.4K
Harmful-Nest
99 settled bets Can't tell from luck
magic @ 42¢ $1.3K — −$1.3K
Aged-Laughter
7 settled bets Too few bets
PARIVISION @ 58¢ $1.2K — +$840

Where the whale money went

  1. magic lost
    $38K
    69% of whale buying · 6 buyers
  2. PARIVISION won
    $17K
    32% of whale buying · 5 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 17 to Oct 19, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1792479640).

About this data · run 1792479640, computed 2026-10-20 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792479640 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed