Polymarket market · Other

Will AC Monza win on 2026-10-19?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

7 whales traded $56K on this market since Oct 19, 94% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded 93 seconds later would have cost 2.5¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Yes won, with 94% of the whale buying on it. Of the 7 whales whose whole position we captured, 6 made +$72K and 1 lost −$3.5K: +$68K between them. Biggest win: Open-Fingernail-Bullet, +$63K on Yes. Biggest loss: Substantial-Service, −$3.5K on No.

The whales on this market

7 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Open-Fingernail-Bullet
133 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 40¢ $42K — +$63K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
4,297 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 87¢ $4.5K — +$672
Substantial-Service
889 settled bets Beat the odds*
No @ 60¢ $3.5K — −$3.5K
Near-Archer-Godfather
32 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 37¢ $1.8K — +$3.1K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
4,477 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 41¢ $1.7K — +$2.4K
Deserted-Workshop
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 39¢ $1.6K — +$2.4K
Silky-Subroutine
258 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 91¢ $1.4K — +$135

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes won
    $53K
    94% of whale buying · 6 buyers
  2. No lost
    $3.5K
    6% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 19, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1792479640).

About this data · run 1792479640, computed 2026-10-20 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792479640 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed