Polymarket market · Other

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage

Resolved: Nemiga won · See it on Polymarket ↗

13 whales traded $103K on this market since Oct 22, 61% of their buying on Nemiga. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 3.9¢ more per share, with 62% of the size there to buy. Nemiga won, with 61% of the whale buying on it. Of the 11 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$17K and 8 lost −$39K: −$21K between them. Biggest win: Substantial-Service, +$14K on Nemiga. Biggest loss: Taut-Semicolon, −$10K on Legacy.

The whales on this market

13 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Substantial-Service
1,009 settled bets Beat the odds*
Nemiga @ 81¢ $59K — +$14K
Taut-Semicolon
226 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Legacy @ 42¢ $10K — −$10K
Runny-Wait-Gynaecology
96 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Legacy @ 69¢ $6.9K — −$6.9K
Better-Military
145 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Legacy @ 67¢ $6.9K — −$6.9K
Harmonious-Pond
2 settled bets Too few bets
Legacy @ 68¢ $4.7K — −$4.7K
Dapper-Notice-Transit
4 settled bets Too few bets
Legacy @ 45¢ $3.8K — −$3.8K
Peppery-Top-Garment
4 settled bets Too few bets
Legacy @ 42¢ $2.9K — −$2.9K
Delicious-Attacker
580 settled bets Worse than the odds
Legacy @ 60¢ $2.1K — −$2.1K
Conscious-Brush
3 settled bets Too few bets
Legacy @ 75¢ $1.6K — −$1.6K
Watchful-Headache
14 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Nemiga @ 59¢ $1.5K — +$1.0K
Required-Sorbet
20 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.4K —
Obedient-Department
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.3K —
Scary-Edible
1,571 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Nemiga @ 28¢ $1.0K — +$2.6K

Where the whale money went

  1. Nemiga won
    $61K
    61% of whale buying · 3 buyers · $1.3K sold
  2. Legacy lost
    $39K
    39% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $1.4K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 22 to Oct 24, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1792911646).

More other markets the whales bet on

All Other →
About this data · run 1792911646, computed 2026-10-25 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792911646 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed