Polymarket market · Other

UNLV vs. Hawai'i

Resolved: UNLV won · See it on Polymarket ↗

12 whales put $67K into this market since Sep 6, 64% of their buying on Hawaii. UNLV won. Of the 11 whales whose whole position we captured, 5 made +$5.9K and 6 lost −$34K: −$28K between them.

The whales on this market

12 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Fake-Bitter
995 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Hawaii @ 44¢ $16K — −$16K
Specific-Reverse-Chiffonier
12 settled bets Too few bets
UNLV @ 57¢ $1.1K $14K —
Powerless-Savannah
2,259 settled bets Beat the odds*
Hawaii @ 44¢ $8.3K — −$8.3K
Scary-Fannypack
111 settled bets Beat the odds*
UNLV @ 87¢ $5.0K — +$747
Soupy-Champagne-Invitation
36 settled bets Can't tell from luck
UNLV @ 56¢ $5.0K — +$3.9K
Revolving-Wallet
53 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Hawaii @ 44¢ $4.9K — −$4.9K
Illiterate-Counterforce
254 settled bets Can't tell from luck
UNLV @ 86¢ $4.4K — +$714
Imaginary-Gallery
230 settled bets Can't tell from luck
UNLV @ 87¢ $2.3K — +$346
Scornful-West
151 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Hawaii @ 44¢ $2.2K — −$2.2K
Conscious-Outfielder
105 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Hawaii @ 44¢ $1.4K — −$1.4K
Scary-Edible
1,330 settled bets Beat the odds*
UNLV @ 86¢ $1.2K — +$195
Negligible-Somersault
102 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Hawaii @ 13¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. Hawaii lost
    $34K
    64% of whale buying · 6 buyers
  2. UNLV won
    $19K
    36% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $14K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 6, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed