Polymarket market · Other

Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-09-05?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

5 whales put $68K into this market since Sep 5, 74% of their buying on No. Yes won. Of the 5 whales whose whole position we captured, 2 made +$6.1K and 3 lost −$50K: −$44K between them.

The whales on this market

5 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Jaunty-Private-Assignment
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 51¢ $25K — −$25K
Silky-Geometry
191 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 51¢ $23K — −$23K
Capital-Devil
6 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 99.9¢ $11K — +$11
0x0f00…73ce
39 settled bets Worse than the odds
Yes @ 45¢ $5.0K — +$6.1K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,172 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 50¢ $4.6K — −$2.5K

Where the whale money went

  1. No lost
    $50K
    74% of whale buying · 3 buyers
  2. Yes won
    $18K
    26% of whale buying · 3 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 5, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed