Polymarket market · Other

Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-09-05?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

10 whales put $114K into this market since Sep 5, 80% of their buying on Yes. Yes won. Of the 10 whales whose whole position we captured, 1 made +$128K and 9 lost −$22K: +$105K between them.

The whales on this market

10 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Foolhardy-Essence
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 42¢ $91K — +$128K
Essential-Proprietor
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 59¢ $5.9K — −$5.9K
Inconsequential-Disdain
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 59¢ $4.1K — −$4.1K
Tempting-Spinach
10 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 59¢ $3.5K — −$3.5K
Embarrassed-Bladder
3 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 59¢ $2.2K — −$2.2K
Infamous-Ocelot
36 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 59¢ $1.6K — −$1.6K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,172 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 71¢ $1.6K — −$1.6K
Teeming-Ritual
42 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 59¢ $1.3K — −$1.3K
Flimsy-Horizon
9 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 59¢ $1.2K — −$1.2K
Great-Snake
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 59¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes won
    $91K
    80% of whale buying · 1 buyer
  2. No lost
    $22K
    20% of whale buying · 9 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 5 to Sep 6, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed